ECAC Playoff Possibilities

Possibilities and commentary courtesy Bill Fenwick; formatting © 2010, Joe Schlobotnik (archives),

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See also

Yale (30 Points)

This Weekend
At Princeton, at Quinnipiac
On Their Own
Clinches first with two points.
Best Case
First
Worst Case
Finish third if they lose twice, Cornell and Union tie, and the Big Red and Dutchmen each win their other game.
Tiebreakers
Beat Cornell and Union.

Cornell (28 Points)

This Weekend
Union, RPI
On Their Own
Clinch second with a win against Union, or if they tie that game, a win against RPI.
Best Case
Take first place with a sweep if Yale get no more than one point.
Worst Case
Would finish third if they lose to Union.
Tiebreakers
Lose to Yale; could win or lose against Union.

Union (28 Points)

This Weekend
At Cornell, at Colgate
On Their Own
A win over Cornell would give the Dutchmen second place.
Best Case
Finish first with a sweep if Yale get no more than one point.
Worst Case
End up third if they lose to Cornell.
Tiebreakers
Lose to Yale; could win or lose against Cornell.

Colgate (22 Points)

This Weekend
RPI, Union
On Their Own
A sweep guarantees fourth place.
Best Case
Fourth
Worst Case
Drop to seventh if they get swept, St. Lawrence get at least one point, and Quinnipiac wins twice.
Tiebreakers
Lose to St. Lawrence and Quinnipiac; could win or lose against RPI.

RPI (22 Points)

This Weekend
At Colgate, at Cornell
On Their Own
Wrap up the fourth seed with a sweep.
Best Case
Fourth
Worst Case
Would fall to sixth with two losses if St. Lawrence get at least two points.
Tiebreakers
Beat Quinnipiac; could win or lose against Colgate and St. Lawrence.

St. Lawrence (21 Points)

This Weekend
Dartmouth, Harvard
On Their Own
Clinches fifth with a pair of wins.
Best Case
Climb to fourth with a sweep if either Colgate and RPI tie or the Colgate-RPI winner does not win its other game.
Worst Case
Finish eighth if they lose twice, Quinnipiac get at least three points, and Harvard also beat Clarkson.
Tiebreakers
Beat Colgate; lose to Quinnipiac and Harvard; could win or lose against RPI.

Quinnipiac (18 Points)

This Weekend
Brown, Yale
On Their Own
Three points would give the Fighting Deerticks seventh place.
Best Case
Would wrap up fifth with a sweep if Colgate lose twice and St. Lawrence get no more than one point.
Worst Case
Slide to eleventh place with two losses if Harvard get at least one point, Princeton beat Brown, and Dartmouth sweeps. This would set up a three-or-more-way tie involving Quinnipiac, Brown, Dartmouth, and potentially Harvard and/or Princeton, with the tie- breakers putting Quinnipiac in eleventh.
Tiebreakers
Beat Colgate and St. Lawrence; lose to RPI and Brown; could win or lose against Harvard, Princeton, and Dartmouth.

Harvard (17 Points)

This Weekend
At Clarkson, at St. Lawrence
On Their Own
Wrap up eighth with two wins.
Best Case
Get sixth with a sweep if Quinnipiac get no more than two points and St. Lawrence lose to Dartmouth.
Worst Case
Drop to eleventh if they get swept, Dartmouth wins twice, and either Princeton and Brown tie OR the Princeton-Brown loser wins its other game.
Tiebreakers
Beat St. Lawrence and Dartmouth; lose to Princeton; could win or lose against Quinnipiac and Brown.

Brown (16 Points)

This Weekend
At Quinnipiac, at Princeton
On Their Own
Beating Princeton gives Brown ninth place.
Best Case
Would rise to seventh with two wins if Harvard get no more than two points.
Worst Case
Finish eleventh if they lose twice and Dartmouth get at least two points.
Tiebreakers
Beat Quinnipiac; could win or lose against Harvard, Princeton, and Dartmouth.

Princeton (16 Points)

This Weekend
Yale, Brown
On Their Own
A win over Brown gives Princeton ninth place.
Best Case
Take seventh place with a sweep if Quinnipiac get no more than one point and Harvard do not win twice.
Worst Case
Fall to eleventh if they get swept and Dartmouth get at least three points.
Tiebreakers
Beat Harvard and Dartmouth; could win or lose against Quinnipiac and Brown.

Dartmouth (14 Points)

This Weekend
At St. Lawrence, at Clarkson
On Their Own
Have already clinched eleventh place and can do no better without help.
Best Case
Would finish eighth if they win twice, Harvard get swept, Brown beat Princeton and lose to Quinnipiac, and Princeton does not beat Yale.
Worst Case
Eleventh
Tiebreakers
Lose to Harvard and Princeton; could win or lose against Quinnipiac and Brown.

Clarkson (8 Points)

This Weekend:
Dartmouth, Harvard
On Their Own:
Already clinched twelfth
Best Case
twelfth
Worst Case
twelfth
Tiebreakers:
Irrelevant

Last Modified: 2011 October 9

Joe Schlobotnik / joe@amurgsval.org

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