ECAC Playoff Possibilities

Possibilities courtesy Bill Fenwick; formatting © 2001, Joe Schlobotnik (archives),

URL for this frameset: http://slack.net/~whelan/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2001/ecacposs.010302.shtml

See also

St. Lawrence (29 Points)

This Weekend:
At Dartmouth, at Vermont.
Possible Finish:
First or Second.
On Their Own:
Clinch first with a sweep.
Tiebreakers:
Could win or lose against Clarkson.
Worst Case
Finish second if Clarkson gets at least two more points than they do

Clarkson (28 Points)

This Weekend:
At Vermont, at Dartmouth.
Possible Finish:
First or Second.
On Their Own:
Already clinched second.
Tiebreakers:
Could win or lose against St. Lawrence.
Best Case
Finish first with a sweep if St. Lawrence gets no more than two points.

Cornell (23 Points)

This Weekend:
RPI, Union.
Possible Finish:
Third through Eighth.
On Their Own:
Clinch third with a sweep.
Tiebreakers:
Lose to Dartmouth and Yale; could win or lose against Harvard, RPI, and Princeton.
Worst Case
Would finish eighth with two losses if Princeton sweeps, RPI also beats Colgate, Dartmouth gets at least one point, Harvard and Yale tie, and Yale beats Brown. This would set up at least a three-way tie among Yale, Princeton, and Cornell (four-way if Dartmouth gets only one point), and the tiebreakers would put Cornell eighth.

Harvard (23 Points)

This Weekend:
Yale, Princeton.
Possible Finish:
Third through Eighth.
On Their Own:
Clinch fourth with a sweep
Tiebreakers:
Beats RPI; loses to Yale; could win or lose against Cornell, Dartmouth, and Princeton
Best Case
Finish third with two wins if Cornell does not win twice.
Worst Case
Drop to eighth if they get swept, Yale and Princeton also beat Brown, RPI wins twice, Cornell beats Union, and Dartmouth picks up at least three points.

Dartmouth (22 Points)

This Weekend:
St. Lawrence, Clarkson.
Possible Finish:
Third through Ninth.
On Their Own:
Finish fifth with three points
Tiebreakers:
Beat Cornell; lose to Yale, Princeton, and Union; could win or lose against Harvard and RPI.
Best Case
Clinch third if they sweep and Cornell and Harvard do not.
Worst Case
Would finish ninth if they lose twice, Union sweeps, Yale and RPI pick up at least two points each, and Princeton gets at least three points.

Yale (20 Points)

This Weekend:
At Harvard, at Brown.
Possible Finish:
Third through Tenth.
On Their Own:
Clinch Sixth with a sweep.
Tiebreakers:
Beat Cornell, Harvard, and Dartmouth; could win or lose against RPI, Princeton, Union, and Vermont.
Best Case
Would finish third with two wins if Dartmouth gets no more than two points and Cornell and Harvard get no more than one point each.
Worst Case
Fall to tenth with two losses if Vermont sweeps, Union and Princeton get at least two points each, and RPI gets at least three points more than Dartmouth (so that Dartmouth does not finish in the top five).

RPI (20 Points)

This Weekend:
At Cornell, at Colgate.
Possible Finish:
Third through Ninth.
On Their Own:
Clinch Seventh with three points
Tiebreakers:
Beat Princeton and Vermont; lose to Harvard; could win or lose against Cornell, Dartmouth, Yale, and Union.
Best Case
Clinch third with a sweep if Yale beats Harvard but not Brown, Cornell also loses to Union, Harvard also loses to Princeton, and Dartmouth gets no more than two points.
Worst Case
Finish ninth if they lose twice, Yale gets at least one point, and Union and Princeton get at least two points each.

Princeton (19 Points)

This Weekend:
At Brown, at Harvard.
Possible Finish:
Third through Eleventh.
On Their Own:
Clinches eighth place with three points.
Tiebreakers:
Beats Dartmouth and Union; loses to RPI; could win or lose against Cornell, Harvard, Yale, Vermont, and Colgate.
Best Case
Finish third with a sweep if Cornell loses twice, Rens- selaer loses to Colgate, Yale beats Harvard but loses to Brown, and Dartmouth gets exactly one point. This sets up a four-way tie among Princeton, Dartmouth, Cornell, and Harvard, with the tiebreakers giving third place to the Tigers.
Worst Case
Fall to eleventh if they lose twice, Colgate sweeps, Union beats Cornell, Yale gets at least two more points than Dartmouth, and Vermont gets exactly three points. This sets up a three-way tie among Colgate, Vermont, and Princeton, with the tiebreakers putting the Tigers eleventh.

Union (18 Points)

This Weekend:
At Colgate, at Cornell.
Possible Finish:
Fifth through Eleventh.
On Their Own:
Clinch Ninth with three points.
Tiebreakers:
Beat Dartmouth; lose to Princeton; could win or lose against Yale, RPI, Vermont, and Colgate.
Best Case
Clinch fifth with a sweep if Dartmouth loses twice, Yale gets no more than one point, and RPI and Princeton get no more that two points each.
Worst Case
Finish eleventh if they get swept, Colgate also beats RPI, and Vermont picks up at least three points.

Vermont (16 Points)

This Weekend:
Clarkson, St. Lawrence.
Possible Finish:
Seventh through Eleventh.
On Their Own:
Clinch Tenth with a sweep.
Tiebreakers:
Lose to RPI and Colgate; could win or lose against Yale, Princeton, and Union.
Best Case
Finish seventh with a sweep if Yale loses twice, RPI picks up at least three more points than Dartmouth (so that Dartmouth is not in the top five), and either Princeton and Union get no more than one point each or Princeton loses twice and Union loses to Cornell.
Worst Case
Would place eleventh if they get no more than one point and Colgate picks up at least one more point than they do.

Colgate (15 Points)

This Weekend:
Union, RPI.
Possible Finish:
Eighth through Eleventh.
On Their Own:
Already clinched eleventh place.
Tiebreakers:
Beat Vermont; could win or lose against Princeton and Union.
Best Case
Finish eighth with a sweep if Princeton loses twice, Union also loses to Cornell, and Vermont gets exactly three points. This sets up a three-way tie among Colgate, Princeton, and Vermont, with the tie-breakers giving Colgate eighth place.

Brown (7 Points)

This Weekend:
Princeton, Yale.
Possible Finish:
Twelfth.
Tiebreakers:
Irrelevant.
Possibilities:
Will finish twelfth.

Last Modified: 2011 October 9

Joe Schlobotnik / joe@amurgsval.org

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