ECAC Playoff Possibilities

Colgate (28 Points)

This Weekend: Clarkson, St. Lawrence
On Their Own: Two points will wrap up first place
Best Case: First
Worst Case: Drops to third if they lose twice, Cornell sweeps, and either Dartmouth sweeps or Brown gets at least three points
Tiebreakers: Beats Brown, Dartmouth, and Cornell

This Weekend: Dartmouth, Vermont
On Their Own: Clinches second by beating Vermont and getting at least a tie against Dartmouth
Best Case: Would finish first with a sweep if Colgate gets no more than one point
Worst Case: Falls to fifth if they lose twice, Cornell gets at least two points, and RPI sweeps
Tiebreakers: Beats Cornell; loses to Colgate and Dartmouth; could win or lose against RPI

This Weekend: At Brown, at Harvard
On Their Own: A sweep gives Dartmouth second place
Best Case: Clinches first with a sweep if Colgate loses twice
Worst Case: Would finish fifth if they get swept, Cornell does not, and RPI gets at least three points
Tiebreakers: Beats Brown, Cornell, and RPI; loses to Colgate

This Weekend: St. Lawrence, Clarkson
On Their Own: Two wins would guarantee third place
Best Case: Finishes first with a sweep if Colgate loses twice, Dartmouth does not sweep, and Brown gets no more than two points
Worst Case: Would fall to fifth if they lose twice and RPI gets at least three points
Tiebreakers: Loses to Colgate, Brown, and Dartmouth; could win or lose against RPI

This Weekend: At Princeton, at Yale
On Their Own: Clinches fifth by beating Princeton or at least tying Yale
Best Case: Would finish third with a pair of wins if Dartmouth gets no more than one point and Cornell gets no more than two
Worst Case: Drops to seventh if they lose twice, Yale gets at least a tie against Union, and Harvard gets at least three points
Tiebreakers: Loses to Dartmouth and Yale; could win or lose against Brown, Cornell, and Harvard

This Weekend: Vermont, Dartmouth
On Their Own: Wraps up sixth with two wins
Best Case: Would finish fifth with a sweep if RPI loses twice, or if RPI ties Princeton and Yale sweeps (this would set up a three-way tie for fifth among Harvard, Yale, and RPI, with Harvard getting the highest seed)
Worst Case: Finishes ninth if they lose twice, Yale beats RPI, and St. Lawrence and Clarkson both sweep. (If RPI were to beat Princeton in this scenario, the tie between Harvard and Clarkson would require the ECAC's infinite-loop fix!)
tiebreakers: Beats Yale and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against RPI and Clarkson

This Weekend: Union, RPI
On Their Own: One point will give the Elis seventh place
Best Case: Clinches fifth with two wins if RPI does not beat Princeton and Harvard does not sweep
Worst Case: Falls to eighth if they lose twice and St. Lawrence sweeps
Tiebreakers: Beats RPI, St. Lawrence, and Clarkson; loses to Harvard

This Weekend: At Cornell, at Colgate
On Their Own: Clinches eighth with three points
Best Case: Gets sixth with a sweep if Harvard and Yale both lose twice
Worst Case: Would finish eleventh if they lose twice, Vermont and Union sweep, Clarkson gets exactly two points, and RPI does not finish in the top four
Tiebreakers: Beats Clarkson; loses to Harvard, Yale, and Union; could win or lose against Vermont

This Weekend: At Colgate, at Cornell
On Their Own: A sweep guarantees ninth place
Best Case: Finishes seventh with a sweep if Harvard loses twice, St. Lawrence gets no more than two points, and RPI does not finish in the top four
Worst Case: Would fall to eleventh if they get swept, Union gets at least one point, and Vermont wins twice
Tiebreakers: Beats Princeton; loses to Yale and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against Harvard, Union, and Vermont

This Weekend: At Yale, at Princeton
On Their Own: Clinches tenth with three points
Best Case: Would finish eighth with a sweep if Clarkson and St. Lawrence each get no more than two points
Worst Case: Drops to twelfth with two losses if Princeton gets at least a tie against RPI and Vermont gets at least three points
Tiebreakers: Beats St. Lawrence; loses to Princeton; could win or lose against Clarkson and Vermont

This Weekend: At Harvard, at Brown
On Their Own: Four points would give the Catamounts eleventh place
Best Case: Clinches ninth with a sweep if St. Lawrence loses twice, Clarkson gets no more than one point, and Union gets no more than two points
Worst Case: Finishes twelfth if Princeton gets at least two more points than they do
Tiebreakers: Could win or lose against St. Lawrence, Clarkson, Union, and Princeton

This Weekend: RPI, Union
On Their Own: Can do no better than twelfth without help
Best Case: Finishes tenth with a sweep if Union does not beat Yale and Vermont gets no more than two points
Worst Case: Twelfth
Tiebreakers: Beats Union; loses to Clarkson; could win or lose against Vermont

Last Modified: 2011 October 9